BTC course analysis – breather or decline?

The price rose until the middle of the week, reached an all-time high of EUR 1,732.82 (USD 1,894.58), fell thereafter and is currently at EUR 1,593.22 (USD 1,741.95).

Summary about the Bitcoin loophole

Until 11 May, the price rose continuously to an all-time high of EUR 1,732.82 (USD 1,894.58).
The price then collapsed and fell to as low as EUR 1,505.54 (USD 1,646.08) like this: Since then, the Bitcoin loophole price has recovered somewhat and is currently at EUR 1,593.22 (USD 1,741.95).

My goodness, what weeks… Bitcoin reached an astronomically, yes, almost insanely high all-time high of 1,732.82 EUR (1,894.58 USD). But this increase was over with the approaching regulations in China and the current miserable situation regarding the transaction confirmations: The price plummeted in breathtaking speed to 1,505.54 EUR (1,646.08 USD). As is so often the case, the end of Bitcoin was prophesied again, according to the motto „its 2014 all over again“.

Well… in the end the ladies and gentlemen who expressed this concern should also have seen that even after the abrupt fall in the share price one was at heights of which one hardly dared to dream two weeks ago. The share price had to or must recover again, it rises significantly faster than any long-term trend.

At the moment the situation looks a bit better again: If you take a closer look at the formation or the uptrend of today, you can see that it follows a bullish triangle pattern:

The long-term course development of the news spy

Everything doesn’t look that dramatic – an impression of the news spy that is also reflected by the indicators on the 60min chart.

The MACD (second panel from above) is currently still negative. „Still“, since the news spy MACD line (blue) is above the signal (orange), so that little is missing to a bullish zero line crossing. In this respect, the MACD is admittedly not bullish, but it is trying to become so through a bullish crossing.

At 53, the RSI (third panel from above) is slightly bullish.

Together with the bullish triangle pattern everything looks very positive so far, so one can hope that the price breaks through the resistance described by the EMA48.

Tip: Use our#Slack-Channel to exchange live with the German-speaking community about the current course of the course.

Let’s first look at the 240min chart to further assess future developments:

The lower of the two long term trends is our old friend, the trend the price has been following since October 2016. The line above shows the current rally that the price has started since the end of April. They are, of course, important supports, as are the EMA84 (i.e. over two weeks) and the currently tested EMA42 (i.e. over a week).

The MACD is positive, but the MACD line is close to a bearish zero line crossing. The abrupt fall in the price has its price, of course. The RSI has of course also fallen, but is neutral with 50.

Of course, after the rally of recent weeks, the MACD is not simply positive, but absurdly high. Yes, you can see a slight recovery, but not more. Recovery is also the keyword for the RSI: After the RSI reached an absurd 93, it is now only slightly overbought.

Well, the price is taking a breather – all charts have indicated that. Nevertheless, they are neutral to bullish. Important for the next time will be the behavior on the Triangle Pattern; this will certainly determine the further price development. Since this is a bullish triangle pattern, a further rise may well occur.

From Ripple, RippleNet, RippleLabs, xCurrent and Total Confusion

The following article is the final part of our guest author’s scientific paper and takes a close look at the Ripple ecosystem.

Ripple Labs is a company

This company offers banks a technology that enables them to exchange money between continents in a matter of seconds. So far, banks have used SWIFT to do this.

If you follow the social trading channels in which small investors hope to get rich with Ripple, they always stress again that there is another bank somewhere in the world that does a proof of concept with Ripple Labs. The technology used in these Proof of Concepts, however, is in most cases the xCurrent product. But xCurrent does not require a ripple.

How does xCurrent work?

xCurrent is a replacement for the outdated SWIFT protocol. But xCurrent does not use a ripple which banks exchange with each other to transfer money from Tokyo to London.

Ripple Labs benefits as a company when banks use xCurrent to replace the SWIFT process. However, this product has no discernible connection to the Ripple token, which is traded on the stock exchanges with the abbreviation XRP for enormous sums.

When banks like StanChart or Axis Bank use Ripple Labs‘ technology to make transactions in US dollars, euros or yen, they obviously don’t use Ripple for that, just the technology they buy from Ripple Labs. However, Ripple Labs wants them to be able to use Ripple later. Ripple would create an inter-currency that the local recipient banks would have to convert into their local currency. The product that connects Ripple with xCurrent is called Ripple Labs xRapid. According to Brad Garlinghouse, CEO of Ripple Labs, it will be a long time before banks use xRapid on a large scale. There are tests, but a broad deployment is still pending.

In March 2018, Ripple Labs announced that, together with 61 mainly Japanese banks, it would like to launch an app called Money Tap for the cashless society. The customers of the 61 syndicate banks should be able to make payments faster with the app. It is sufficient to have a bank account with one of the banks and then pay using the telephone number and a QR code. However, obviously no Ripple is used here again, but only Ripple Labs SWIFT replacement called xCurrent.

An investment in Ripple (XRP) is therefore only indirectly related to Ripple Labs and the many banks that use Ripple Labs technology to replace SWIFT. The way in which Ripple Labs documents its technology and at the same time appears on the market suggests that the mixing of its various successful products such as xCurrent with the crypto currency Ripple is deliberately kept nebulous by the public so that the price of the digital currency Ripple rises.

According to Bloomberg, around 76 billion US dollars are transferred internationally via SWIFT every day. Ripple Labs would like to see these 76 billion US dollars processed via its products. The business idea is unique: instead of SWIFT, international payments are processed faster and more cost-effectively via a block chain. Unfortunately, banks have little interest, for example, in exchanging their customers‘ euro money for the crypto currency Ripple, which they then send from Frankfurt to New York in two seconds, where Ripple would have to exchange it for US dollars. According to Bloomberg, there is only a very small probability that exactly this will be accepted by the banking market. The reason is that Ripple, as a crypto currency, is an unregulated financial construct that has not yet been accepted by the banking supervisory authorities.